
Originally Posted by
mlcor
Hmm, well, it's not quite as clear as "electric is better, end of story." With ICE and hybrids, yes there are greenhouse gas emissions. However, with electrics, you need to consider the generation source for the electricity. Is it wind or solar? OK, you win. Is the electric plant powered by natural gas or coal? Uh oh, maybe you don't win. Nuclear? OK, you win on emissions but lose on disposal of spent nuclear waste. If everyone is on electric, how will we expand and upgrade the grid to serve all of that, and can we do it with only wind and solar? Maybe not.... And what about the environmental effects of mining for all the rare earth materials needed to make batteries? Oh, and do we have a good plan for recycling all the spent batteries as opposed to disposing of them? Didn't think so...
Not saying electric won't eventually replace ICE, it will and should, but I think the runway is a lot longer than people think (or would like to think) it will be.
As far as electric cars themselves, I'm not prepared to buy one even if price were equal (which of course they're not, there's a large premium as the manufacturers shamelessly try to gouge the public for the privilege of going green):
1. Sure, if I'm only going to run errands around locally and be able to charge every night, no problem. But what about long trips, which given the size of our country, is a bigger issue than on the other side of the pond? Recent studies of non-Tesla commercial charging stations in the US found that on average at least 25-30% of them weren't working when they tried to use them, either because of poor maintenance or vandalism. That could be a real vacation-buster. And that's separate from there being enough of them, or the fact that you have to plant yourself for half an hour or more as opposed to five minutes for gas.
2. The electricity doesn't go out that frequently where we live, but it goes out regularly in many places, especially after storms. It can easily take days for the repairs to be made (this has happened even at my place, where it rarely occurs). Then, either you're stranded or you must have a backup ICE car.
3. Fun factor--I've driven Teslas, and they're fun in a straight line because, instant torque. But that's about it from a fun point of view. Maybe that will improve when they start making true high performance electrics, but I don't see how you get around have a couple thousand pounds of batteries and a 5000 pound car, which can pretend to be nimble but won't be.
4. I've said this before, but the law of unintended consequences is already taking place, with people who don't have driving skills suddenly being given a car that will accelerate 0-60 in 3.0 seconds, but have no clue that that doesn't affect stopping distances or cornering.
Bottom line IMO, there's a ton of stuff that needs to be sorted out before electric rule the roads, and it's gonna take a while. Even when it happens, I won't celebrate, not until there's conclusive proof that it's better for driving and the environment, and as practical as ICEs.